RICHARD GIRAGOSIAN
The Year 2020: The Three Wars of the South Caucasus
As in the earlier wars of both April 2016 and September-October 2020, Armenia is dangerously under-equipped and ill-prepared. Any chance to seize diplomatic opportunities to salvage what remains of Karabakh may be lost, as neither Armenia nor Karabakh have a diplomatic strategy. And there is a related absence of any “end state” objective for Karabakh.
Turkey in the Post-War Caucasus
But after the end of the war for Karabakh, there are many questions over what comes next, with no clear answers and even fewer certainties.