Doing the maths of the new parliament

46 million voters went to the polls for the June 7 Elections, producing a series of striking outcomes. As the 13-year AKP rule came to an end, the HDP passed the election threshold; and possible coalition scenarios are now being discussed.

Sadi Güven, President of the Higher Election Council (YSK) announced that according to incomplete election results, the AKP, CHP, MHP and HDP had passed the 10% election threshold, adding, “In view of the period of objection, the full and complete election results will be announced in 11-12 days”.

The parties will shape the parliament as follows according to incomplete election results:

AKP: 40,82% and 258 MPs

CHP: 24,99% and 132 MPs

MHP: 16,35% and 80 MPs

HDP: 13,11% and 80 MPs

20% meltdown in AKP votes

According to the 7 June General Election results which determine the 25th Term members of parliament, the AKP became the first party with 40% of votes. However, the AKP had received 50% of the vote in the 2011 general election, securing 326 members of parliament. As the AKP lost 10 points across Turkey, an assessment on the basis of its own votes shows that it lost 1 in 5 votes, signalling a 20% meltdown.

HDP succeeds both in the East and the West

A source of debate for months, the HDP not only comfortably passed the election threshold, but also reached a share of 13% in the first election it took part in. The party had secured 35 members of parliament by nominating independent candidates in 2011. The HDP won an overwhelming majority in cities in the East and Southeast, while it also achieved great success in the larger cities in the West, winning seats in parliament, among others, from cities like Bursa, Antalya and Ankara.

A drop of 3 MPs for the CHP

In the second election it took part in under the leadership of Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, the CHP became the second largest party despite failing to increase its share of the vote. According to incomplete election results, the number of CHP seats in parliament dropped from 135 to 132.

MHP, the secret winner

The MHP became, along with the HDP, the second party that increased both its share of the vote, and the number of its members of parliament. Securing 16,4% of the votes, the MHP now has 80 members of parliament. In 2011, the MHP had won 13% of the vote, corresponding to 53 seats; and as it increased its vote by 3%, it managed to increase the number of its seats by a much higher percentage. 

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